چکیده:
In accordance with the Iranian government intention toward two step forward elimination of energy subsidies policy in coming years, we focus in this study on the extent by which the corresponding raising costs will be distributed across the livestock sector and how they affected food security. For this purpose, scenario of increasing energy prices and improving productivity at vertical and horizontal meat market is applied by a multi-market equilibrium displacement model to Iranian livestock sector for next five years. Results show that changing the price of poultry and beef have the highest impacts on animal protein intake. Improving productivity could compensate decreasing of protein and calorie intakes for successive four years but not at the last year. In accordance with the Iranian government intention toward two step forward elimination of energy subsidies policy in coming years, we focus in this study on the extent by which the corresponding raising costs will be distributed across the livestock sector and how they affected food security. For this purpose, scenario of increasing energy prices and improving productivity at vertical and horizontal meat market is applied by a multi-market equilibrium displacement model to Iranian livestock sector for next five years. Results show that changing the price of poultry and beef have the highest impacts on animal protein intake. Improving productivity could compensate decreasing of protein and calorie intakes for successive four years but not at the last year.
خلاصه ماشینی:
"Food Security Impacts of Increasing Energy Prices on Iranian Meat Market Fatemeh Fathi 1 Mohammad Bakhshoodeh 2 Abstract; Keywords: Introduction Policies of the Fifth Five-year Socio Economic Development Plan of Iran stress on the improvement of factors such as air quality and food security, reduction of risks and infections that threatens health as well as modification of dietary patterns by improving food composition and safety.
This study is an attempt to investigate the effects of increase in energy prices on beef, sheep and poultry meat prices including on farm and retail prices under various scenarios, the amount of demand and supply and ultimately the effects on food security in Iran.
In the present study, food security is analyzed as affected by elimination of energy subsidies using Equilibrium Displacement Model (EDM) (relationship between vertical and horizontal markets) for meat products in Iranian to investigate direct effects of the policy on changes in supply and reactions of producers by improving productivity at different levels.
In this equation, µi is the meat income elasticity: n µM = ∑ µi si i = B, Pand C M =Calories ,Protein (16) i=1 Results To examine the effects of energy price increase, the changes in the marginal cost and the shock on supply function were calculated and presented at Table 1.
Table 4: Percentage of changes in calories and animal protein intake of Iranian families as a result of different scenarios of raising prices of energy carriers Poultry Sheep Beef Total Calorie -13."